Kacey C Ernst
- Professor, Public Health
- Professor, Arid Lands Resources Sciences - GIDP
- Professor, Entomology / Insect Science - GIDP
- Professor, Global Change - GIDP
- Professor, School of Animal and Comparative Biomedical Sciences
- Professor, Geography
- Ph.D. Epidemiology
- University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan
- Paper of the Year - NCAR
- National Center for Atmospheric Research, Spring 2018
- AAAS Leshner Public Engagement Fellow
- American Academy of Science, Summer 2017
- MEZCOPH Service Award
- MEZCOPH, Spring 2017
- MEZCOPH Teaching Award
- Spring 2016
- Woman of the Year - Tucson
- Hispanic Chamber of Commerce, Fall 2013
- Hot Shot Award
- The Arizona Partnership for Immunization, Spring 2013
- Research Award
- MEZCOPH, Spring 2013
- Visiting Scientist award
- National Center for Atmospheric Research, Spring 2013
No activities entered.
Applied Infectious Disease EpiEPID 579 (Spring 2021)
Changing Health PolicyEPID 606 (Spring 2021)
DissertationEPID 920 (Spring 2021)
Health Data Science PracticeEPID 453 (Spring 2021)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEPID 660 (Spring 2021)
ThesisEPID 910 (Spring 2021)
DissertationEPID 920 (Fall 2020)
Independent StudyEPID 699 (Fall 2020)
Meth In Ento & Insect ScienceEIS 792 (Fall 2020)
ResearchEPID 900 (Fall 2020)
Applied Infectious Disease EpiEPID 579 (Spring 2020)
Changing Health PolicyEPID 606 (Spring 2020)
DissertationEPID 920 (Spring 2020)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEIS 660 (Spring 2020)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEPID 660 (Spring 2020)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Spring 2020)
ResearchEIS 900 (Spring 2020)
ThesisEIS 910 (Spring 2020)
DissertationEPID 920 (Fall 2019)
Independent StudyEPID 699 (Fall 2019)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Fall 2019)
ResearchEIS 900 (Fall 2019)
ThesisEIS 910 (Fall 2019)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Summer I 2019)
Applied Infectious Disease EpiEPID 579 (Spring 2019)
Changing Health PolicyEPID 606 (Spring 2019)
DissertationEPID 920 (Spring 2019)
Independent StudyEPID 499 (Spring 2019)
Independent StudyEPID 599 (Spring 2019)
Independent StudyEPID 699 (Spring 2019)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEIS 660 (Spring 2019)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEPID 660 (Spring 2019)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Spring 2019)
ResearchEIS 900 (Spring 2019)
DissertationEPID 920 (Fall 2018)
Epidemiology SeminarEPID 696A (Fall 2018)
Independent StudyEPID 599 (Fall 2018)
Independent StudyEPID 699 (Fall 2018)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Fall 2018)
ThesisEIS 910 (Fall 2018)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Summer I 2018)
Applied Infectious Disease EpiEPID 579 (Spring 2018)
Changing Health PolicyEPID 606 (Spring 2018)
DissertationEPID 920 (Spring 2018)
Honors ThesisECOL 498H (Spring 2018)
Independent StudyEPID 599 (Spring 2018)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyACBS 660 (Spring 2018)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEPID 660 (Spring 2018)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Spring 2018)
Special Topics in ScienceHNRS 195I (Spring 2018)
DissertationEPID 920 (Fall 2017)
Honors ThesisECOL 498H (Fall 2017)
Independent StudyEPID 599 (Fall 2017)
Master's ReportEPID 909 (Fall 2017)
ResearchEIS 900 (Fall 2017)
Applied Infectious Disease EpiCPH 579 (Spring 2017)
Independent StudyCPH 599 (Spring 2017)
Master's ReportCPH 909 (Spring 2017)
Changing Health PolicyCPH 606 (Fall 2016)
Changing Health PolicyEPID 606 (Fall 2016)
Master's ReportCPH 909 (Fall 2016)
Special Topics in ScienceHNRS 195I (Fall 2016)
Master's ReportCPH 909 (Summer I 2016)
Independent StudyCPH 599 (Spring 2016)
Independent StudyCPH 699 (Spring 2016)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyACBS 660 (Spring 2016)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyCPH 660 (Spring 2016)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEIS 660 (Spring 2016)
Infect Dis EpidemiologyEPID 660 (Spring 2016)
Master's ReportCPH 909 (Spring 2016)
- Ernst, K. C., Morin, C., & Brown, H. E. (2014). Extreme Weather Events and Vector-borne Diseases. In Public Health in Natural Disasters: Nutrition, Food, Remediation and Preparation. Wageningen Academic Publishers.
- Ernst, K. C., Morin, C., Brown, H. E., Ernst, K. C., Morin, C., & Brown, H. E. (2015). Extreme Weather Events and Vector-borne Diseases. In Public Health in Natural Disasters: Nutrition, Food, Remediation and Preparation. Wageningen Academic Publishers.
- Anderson, E. J., Ernst, K. C., Fernando Martins, F., da Silva Martins, C., & Koss, M. P. (2020). Women's Health Perceptions and Beliefs Related to Zika Virus Exposure during the 2016 Outbreak in Northern Brazil. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene.More infoDuring the 2016 Zika pandemic in Brazil, women's perceptions of infection risk, ability to adhere to Zika prevention strategies, or access to services following exposure were not emphasized in the public health response. Women in Fortaleza, Brazil, responded to a questionnaire on social factors related to perceived Zika risk and access to health care in June 2016. Data were coded using prespecified categories, and response frequency was reported. Of 37 respondents, most reported a lack of public services to support mosquito control ( = 19) or delayed access to reproductive health care ( = 14). Only 22% described specific maternal risks or fetal outcomes as a consequence of Zika infection. Respondents indicated an overall disconnect between public health efforts and women's perceptions of their reproductive control, including limited support concerning microcephaly in infants. Interventions targeting Zika may require a greater emphasis on strengthening health systems and infrastructure to realistically prevent transmission.
- Coalson, J. E., Santos, E. M., Little, A. C., Anderson, E. J., Stroupe, N., Agawo, M., Hayden, M., Munga, S., & Ernst, K. C. (2020). Insufficient Ratio of Long-Lasting Insecticidal Nets to Household Members Limited Universal Usage in Western Kenya: A 2015 Cross-Sectional Study. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 102(6), 1328-1342.More infoUniversal "coverage" with long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) is recommended for malaria control in endemic areas, but ownership does not ensure usage. We evaluated relationships between household-level ownership and individual-level usage in western Kenya in 2015. Low-prevalence highland (> 1,500 m) and highly endemic lowland (< 1,200 m) sites were surveyed from July to August 2015. Household members reported long-lasting insecticidal net ownership, use, and barriers to use. Net ownership was categorized as sufficient (≤ 2 people/net), insufficient (> 2 people/net), or none. Each LLIN was assumed to provide access to two people. We surveyed 574 lowland and 643 highland households, with 1,677 and 2,742 members, respectively. More than 98% of lowland households owned LLIN(s); 72.1% owned a sufficient number. Only 37.5% of highland households had sufficient nets. More people used LLINs than were estimated to have access in the lowlands (94.2% versus 85.3%), but proportions were similar in the highlands (54.3% versus 53.3%). Insufficient ownership was most common for larger households in both areas and strongly predicted LLIN usage. In households with insufficient nets, men, school-age children (aged 5-15 years), and nonnuclear family members were less likely to use LLINs; only relationship to the head of the household significantly predicted use in households with sufficient nets. Long-lasting insecticidal nets were widespread in western Kenya in 2015, but insufficient household ownership remained common in the epidemic highlands and in large households. Access seemed to be the primary driver of individual use. To interrupt transmission, LLIN campaigns should improve distribution to large households and promote use among men, school-age children, and nonnuclear family members.
- Rains, S. A., Crane, T. E., Iyengar, S., Merchant, N., Oxnam, M., Sprinkle, M. M., & Ernst, K. C. (2020). Community-Level Health Promotion during a Pandemic: Key Considerations for Health Communication. Health communication, 35(14), 1747-1749.
- Santos, E. M., Coalson, J. E., Munga, S., Agawo, M., Jacobs, E. T., Klimentidis, Y. C., Hayden, M. H., & Ernst, K. C. (2020). "After those nets are torn, most people use them for other purposes": an examination of alternative bed net use in western Kenya. Malaria journal, 19(1), 272.More infoAlternative long-lasting insecticidal net (LLIN) use for purposes other than sleeping protection from mosquitoes is widely debated as a limitation to successful malaria control efforts, yet rarely rigorously studied.
- Santos, E. M., McClelland, D. J., Shelly, C. E., Hansen, L., Jacobs, E. T., Klimentidis, Y. C., & Ernst, K. C. (2020). Malaria education interventions addressing bed net care and repair practices: a systematic review. Pathogens and global health, 114(1), 2-15.More infoEducation intervention effectiveness to improve bed net care and repair knowledge or practices is unclear. To assess intervention effectiveness, we systematically reviewed eight peer-reviewed literature databases and 16 malaria organizations (PROSPERO protocol CRD42019123932) using pre-specified combinations of 'education intervention', 'mosquito net', and 'malaria' search terms. Data were abstracted for 29 of 43 studies meeting inclusion criteria, of which 16 studies included education as amain focus. Of these 16, there was evidence of intervention effectiveness among half of the studies, which reported improvements in knowledge or practices, while four had mixed results, and four had unclear results. Overall there is no clear conclusion regarding the effectiveness of education interventions to improve net care and repair, though some instructional methods suggest more success than others. Interventions used combinations of instructional methods; passive mass education (6), active mass education (12), and interpersonal methods (8). Interventions combining mass and interpersonal methods resulted in positive improvements (four positive, one mixed). We found no evidence that interventions grounded in health behavior theory achieved more positive results than those not grounded in theory, potentially because net care education was typically asecondary objective. Of 289 gray literature results, 286 (99%) were net distribution reports from Against Malaria Foundation describing 136 distributions; eighty of which (58.8%) mentioned no education related to net care and repair. We found lack of involvement of experts in education among included interventions. Involving trained instructors with expertise in education theory and instructional strategies may improve instruction quality to yield more effective interventions.
- Anderson, E. J., Krause, K. C., Meyer Krause, C., Welter, A., McClelland, D. J., Garcia, D. O., Ernst, K., Lopez, E. C., & Koss, M. P. (2019). Web-Based and mHealth Interventions for Intimate Partner Violence Victimization Prevention: A Systematic Review. Trauma, violence & abuse, 1524838019888889.More infoMobile health (mHealth) technologies are increasingly used across health programming including intimate partner violence (IPV) prevention to optimize screening, educational outreach, and linkages to care via telehealth. We systematically evaluated current web-based and mHealth interventions, which include web- or mobile-based delivery methods for primary, secondary, and tertiary IPV victimization prevention. We searched MEDLINE/PubMed, Embase, CINAHL, PsycINFO, Open Grey, and Google Scholar for empirical studies published 1998-2019. Studies were included if they considered empirical data, participants in adult romantic relationships, IPV as a primary or secondary outcome, and an mHealth component. The Mixed Methods Appraisal Tool was used to record critical ratings of quality among studies selected for inclusion. We assessed variation in targeted populations, types of IPV addressed, and mHealth approaches used. Of 133 studies identified for full-text review, 31 were included. Computer-based screening with or without integrated education was the most common mHealth approach ( = 8, 26%), followed by safety decision aids ( = 7, 23%). Feasibility and acceptability were found to be generally high where assessed (23% of studies, = 7). There was limited evidence around whether mHealth interventions better addressed population needs compared to conventional interventions. mHealth tools for IPV prevention are especially acceptable in health-care settings, on mobile phone platforms, or when connecting victims to health care. Despite enthusiasm in pilot projects, evidence for efficacy compared to conventional IPV prevention approaches is limited. A major strength of mHealth IPV prevention programming is the ability to tailor interventions to individual victim needs without extensive human resource expenditure by providers.
- Asaolu, I., Nuño, V. L., Ernst, K., Taren, D., & Ehiri, J. (2019). Healthcare system indicators associated with modern contraceptive use in Ghana, Kenya, and Nigeria: evidence from the Performance Monitoring and Accountability 2020 data. Reproductive health, 16(1), 152.More infoPublic health literature is replete with evidence on individual and interpersonal indicators of modern contraceptive use. There is, however, limited knowledge regarding healthcare system indicators of modern contraceptive use. This study assessed how the healthcare system influences use of modern contraceptive among women in Ghana, Kenya, and two large population states in Nigeria.
- Ernst, K. C., Rosa, L., Joli, W., Amanda, O., Erika, B., & Pogreba Brown, K. M. (2019). Public Perceptions of Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions for Vectorborne and Respiratory Illnesses – A Statewide Survey in Arizona.. Epidemiology and Community Health. doi:https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/pdf/10.1177/1757913919886605
- Pogreba-Brown, K., Austhof, E., Okello, A., Weiss, J., Lira, R., & Ernst, K. (2019). Public perceptions of non-pharmaceutical interventions for influenza and mosquito-borne illnesses - a statewide survey in Arizona. Perspectives in public health, 1757913919886605.More infoWe conducted a statewide online survey to understand public knowledge, attitudes, and practices (KAP) related to non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) for mosquito-borne diseases and influenza in Arizona.
- Ruberto, I., Yaglom, H., Erhart, L. M., Plante, L., Weiss, J., Golenko, C., Casal, M., McCotter, O., Adams, L., Ernst, K., & Komatsu, K. (2019). Dengue Knowledge, Attitudes, and Practices Among Arizona Health Care Providers, 2014-2015. Vector borne and zoonotic diseases (Larchmont, N.Y.), 19(6), 434-440.More infoDetection of local dengue transmission requires an aware and engaged medical community, as health care providers are the front line of public health surveillance. To assess the knowledge, attitude, and practice about dengue, an online survey was distributed among Arizona health care providers during 2014 and 2015. The survey consisted of a total of 10 knowledge, attitude, and practice questions divided as follows: 5 knowledge questions, 2 attitude questions, and 3 practice questions. The link to the Qualtrics survey was distributed through the Arizona Health Alert Network to a total of 4582 e-mail addresses, of which 335 participants opened the survey, and 196 completed and submitted their responses. Less than half the respondents reported choosing the right dengue diagnostic test (40.4%) or understanding the epidemiology of dengue in Arizona (40.9%). Slightly more than half the respondents reported frequently asking for travel history (59%), and three-fourth of them would notify the local health department on suspicion of a dengue patient (76.1%). Survey score was associated with providers specialized in infectious diseases (1.88, 95% CI: 0.42-3.33, = 0.01), medical doctors or doctors of osteopathic medicine (1.82, 95% CI: 0.98-2.65,
- Santos, E. M., Coalson, J. E., Jacobs, E. T., Klimentidis, Y. C., Munga, S., Agawo, M., Anderson, E., Stroupe, N., & Ernst, K. C. (2019). Bed net care practices and associated factors in western Kenya. Malaria journal, 18(1), 274.More infoInsecticide-treated nets (ITNs) and long-lasting insecticidal nets (LLINs) are effective for malaria prevention and are designed to provide nearly 5 years of mosquito protection. However, many ITNs and LLINs become damaged and ineffective for mosquito bite prevention within 1 to 2 years in field conditions. Non-adherence to recommended bed net care and repair practices may partially explain this shortened net longevity.
- Alvarez-Hernandez, G., Ernst, K., Acuña-Melendrez, N. H., Vargas-Ortega, A. P., & Candia-Plata, M. D. (2018). Medical knowledge related to Rocky Mountain spotted fever in Sonora, Mexico. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 112(3), 109-114.More infoRocky Mountain spotted fever (RMSF) is a tick-borne disease with a high case-fatality rate unless diagnosed promptly and treated timely with doxycycline. Physician knowledge about presentation and treatment can improve outcomes of RMSF in endemic regions, such as Sonora in northern Mexico, where RMSF has caused 1348 non-fatal cases and 247 deaths from 2003 to 2016.
- Asaolu, I. O., Alaofè, H., Gunn, J. K., Adu, A. K., Monroy, A. J., Ehiri, J. E., Hayden, M. H., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). Measuring Women's Empowerment in Sub-Saharan Africa: Exploratory and Confirmatory Factor Analyses of the Demographic and Health Surveys. Frontiers in psychology, 9, 994.More infoWomen's status and empowerment influence health, nutrition, and socioeconomic status of women and their children. Despite its benefits, however, research on women's empowerment in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) is limited in scope and geography. Empowerment is variably defined and data for comparison across regions is often limited. The objective of the current study was to identify domains of empowerment from a widely available data source, Demographic and Health Surveys, across multiple regions in SSA. Demographic and Health Surveys from nineteen countries representing four African regions were used for the analysis. A total of 26 indicators across different dimensions (economic, socio-cultural, education, and health) were used to characterize women's empowerment. Pooled data from all countries were randomly divided into two datasets-one for exploratory factor analysis (EFA) and the other for Confirmatory Factor Analysis (CFA)-to verify the factor structure hypothesized during EFA. Four factors including attitudes toward violence, labor force participation, education, and access to healthcare were found to define women's empowerment in Central, Southern, and West Africa. However, in East Africa, only three factors were relevant: attitudes toward violence, access to healthcare ranking, and labor force participation. There was limited evidence to support household decision-making, life course, or legal status domains as components of women's empowerment. This foremost study advances scholarship on women's empowerment by providing a validated measure of women's empowerment for researchers and other stakeholders in health and development.
- Barnes, S. R., Wansaula, Z., Herrick, K., Oren, E., Ernst, K., Olsen, S. J., & Casal, M. G. (2018). Mortality estimates among adult patients with severe acute respiratory infections from two sentinel hospitals in southern Arizona, United States, 2010-2014. BMC infectious diseases, 18(1), 78.More infoFrom October 2010 through February 2016, Arizona conducted surveillance for severe acute respiratory infections (SARI) among adults hospitalized in the Arizona-Mexico border region. There are few accurate mortality estimates in SARI patients, particularly in adults ≥ 65 years old. The purpose of this study was to generate mortality estimates among SARI patients that include deaths occurring shortly after hospital discharge and identify risk factors for mortality.
- Ernst, K. C., Barrett, E., , A. t., Hoswell, E., & Hayden, M. H. (2018). Increasing women's engagement in vector control: a report from Accelerate To Equal project workshops. Malaria journal, 17(1), 326.More infoWorkshops with academic, national and local government, and community stakeholders were held in Kenya (2017) and Indonesia (2018) to understand the role and perceptions of women in vector control and to identify strategies for accelerating involvement of women in sustained support for vector control interventions at multiple levels/sectors.
- Ernst, K. C., Comrie, A. C., & Morin, C. W. (2013). Climate and dengue transmission: evidence and implications. Environmental health perspectives, 121(11-12), 1264-72. doi:http://dx.doi.org/10.1289/ehp.1306556More infoClimate influences dengue ecology by affecting vector dynamics, agent development, and mosquito/human interactions. Although these relationships are known, the impact climate change will have on transmission is unclear. Climate-driven statistical and process-based models are being used to refine our knowledge of these relationships and predict the effects of projected climate change on dengue fever occurrence, but results have been inconsistent.
- Ernst, K. C., Ehiri, J. E., Hayden, M., Monroy, A., Adu, A., Gunn, J., Alaofe, H. S., Asaolu, I., Asaolu, I., Alaofe, H. S., Gunn, J., Adu, A., Monroy, A., Hayden, M., Ehiri, J. E., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). Measures of Women’s Empowerment in sub-Saharan Africa: an Exploratory Factor Analysis of the Demographic and Health Surveys.. The International Journal of Maternal and Child Health (MCH) and AIDS (IJMA).
- Gunn, J. K., Ernst, K. C., Center, K. E., Bischoff, K., Nuñez, A. V., Huynh, M., Okello, A., & Hayden, M. H. (2018). Current strategies and successes in engaging women in vector control: a systematic review. BMJ global health, 3(1), e000366.More infoVector-borne diseases (VBDs) cause significant mortality and morbidity in low-income and middle-income countries and present a risk to high-income countries. Vector control programmes may confront social and cultural norms that impede their execution. Anecdotal evidence suggests that incorporating women in the design, delivery and adoption of health interventions increases acceptance and compliance. A better understanding of programmes that have attempted to increase women's involvement in vector control could help shape best practices. The objective of this systematic review was to assess and critically summarise evidence regarding the effectiveness of women participating in vector control.
- Hayden, M. H., Barrett, E., Bernard, G., Toko, E. N., Agawo, M., Okello, A. M., Gunn, J. K., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). Barriers and Opportunities to Advancing Women in Leadership Roles in Vector Control: Perspectives from a Stakeholder Survey. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 98(5), 1224-1227.More infoIncreasing the active participation of professional women in vector control (VC) activities may help promote greater gender equity in the workplace and reduce the burden of vector-borne diseases. This stakeholder survey examined the current roles and perspective of professionals employed in the VC sector in Kenya, Indonesia, India, and other countries. The largest barriers that women face in pursuing leadership roles in the VC sector include lack of awareness of career opportunities, limitations based on cultural norms, and the belief that VC is men's work. These barriers could be addressed through improving education and recruitment campaigns, as well as supporting higher education and mentoring programs. Females were almost six times more likely to be encouraged to pursue leadership positions in their organization compared with male respondents (odds ratio = 5.9, > 0.03, 95% confidence interval: 1.19, 29.42). These findings suggest that once women are recruited into the VC workforce, they face minimal discrimination and have increased leadership opportunities.
- Hayden, M., Gunn, J., Barrette, E., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). Barriers and opportunities to advancing women in leadership roles in vector control: Perspectives from a stakeholder survey. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.
- Monaghan, A. J., Sampson, K. M., Steinhoff, D. F., Ernst, K. C., Ebi, K. L., Jones, B., & Hayden, M. H. (2018). The potential impacts of 21st century climatic and population changes on human exposure to the virus vector mosquito. Climatic change, 146(3-4), 487-500.More infoThe mosquito transmits the viruses that cause dengue and chikungunya, two globally-important vector-borne diseases. We investigate how choosing alternate emissions and/or socioeconomic pathways may modulate future human exposure to . Occurrence patterns for for 2061-2080 are mapped globally using empirically downscaled air temperature and precipitation projections from the Community Earth System Model, for the Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios. Population growth is quantified using gridded global population projections consistent with two Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs), SSP3 and SSP5. Change scenarios are compared to a 1950-2000 reference period. A global land area of 56.9 M km is climatically suitable for during the reference period, and is projected to increase by 8% (RCP4.5) to 13% (RCP8.5) by 2061-2080. The annual average number of people exposed globally to for the reference period is 3794 M, a value projected to statistically significantly increase by 298-460 M (8-12%) by 2061-2080 if only climate change is considered, and by 4805-5084 M (127-134%) for SSP3 and 2232-2483 M (59-65%) for SSP5 considering both climate and population change (lower and upper values of each range represent RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 respectively). Thus, taking the lower-emissions RCP4.5 pathway instead of RCP8.5 may mitigate future human exposure to globally, but the effect of population growth on exposure will likely be larger. Regionally, Australia, Europe and North America are projected to have the largest percentage increases in human exposure to considering only climate change.
- Monaghan, A. J., Schmidt, C. A., Hayden, M. H., Smith, K. A., Reiskind, M. H., Cabell, R., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). A Simple Model to Predict the Potential Abundance of Mosquitoes One Month in Advance. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene.More infoThe mosquito () (.) is the primary vector of dengue, chikungunya, and Zika viruses in the United States. Surveillance for adult is limited, hindering understanding of the mosquito's seasonal patterns and predictions of areas at elevated risk for autochthonous virus transmission. We developed a simple, intuitive empirical model that uses readily available temperature and humidity variables to predict environmental suitability for low, medium, or high potential abundance of adult in a given city 1 month in advance. Potential abundance was correctly predicted in 73% of months in arid Phoenix, AZ (over a 10-year period), and 63% of months in humid Miami, FL (over a 2-year period). The monthly model predictions can be updated daily, weekly, or monthly and thus may be applied to forecast suitable conditions for to inform vector-control activities and guide household-level actions to reduce mosquito habitat and human exposure.
- Pottinger, H. L., Jacobs, E. T., Haenchen, S. D., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). Parental attitudes and perceptions associated with childhood vaccine exemptions in high-exemption schools. PloS one, 13(6), e0198655.More infoPrevious work demonstrates that individuals who obtain exemptions from school immunization requirements are geographically clustered, making regional differences in vaccination coverage a significant concern. Even where exemption levels are high, there are still parents that vaccinate. School-level assessments have determined that exemptors are more likely to attend wealthier schools with fewer minorities. Few studies have assessed divergent opinions within the context of a higher-exemption community to examine subtle differences in opinion surrounding vaccinations. Therefore, the objective of this work was to assess attitudes and perceptions towards vaccinations and compare them for exemptors and non-exemptors. We administered surveys to parents in high-exemption (>10%) elementary schools in Arizona during the 2012-13 school year. A total of 404 surveys were completed by parents among schools in Maricopa (n = 7) and Yavapai (n = 2) counties. Of these, 35% (n = 141) were exemptors and 65% (n = 261) were non-exemptors. Exemptors were more likely than non-exemptors to be concerned about serious side-effects (p
- Schmidt, C. A., Comeau, G., Monaghan, A. J., Williamson, D. J., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). Effects of desiccation stress on adult female longevity in Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus (Diptera: Culicidae): results of a systematic review and pooled survival analysis. Parasites & vectors, 11(1), 267.More infoTransmission dynamics of mosquito-borne viruses such as dengue, Zika and chikungunya are affected by the longevity of the adult female mosquito. Environmental conditions influence the survival of adult female Aedes mosquitoes, the primary vectors of these viruses. While the association of temperature with Aedes mortality has been relatively well-explored, the role of humidity is less established. The current study's goals were to compile knowledge of the influence of humidity on adult survival in the important vector species Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus, and to quantify this relationship while accounting for the modifying effect of temperature.
- Suppes, L. M., Ernst, K. C., Abrell, L., & Reynolds, K. A. (2018). Validation of Questionnaire Methods to Quantify Recreational Water Ingestion. International journal of environmental research and public health, 15(11).More infoSwimming pool water ingestion volumes are necessary for assessing infection risk from swimming. Pool water ingestion volumes can be estimated by questionnaire or measuring a chemical tracer in swimmer urine. Questionnaires are often preferred to the chemical tracer method because surveys are less time consuming, but no research exists validating questionnaires accurately quantify pool water ingestion volumes. The objective of this study was to explore if questionnaires are a reliable tool for collecting pool water ingestion volumes. A questionnaire was issued at four pool sites in Tucson, Arizona to 46 swimmers who also submitted a urine sample for analyzing cyanuric acid, a chemical tracer. Perceived ingestion volumes reported on the questionnaire were compared with pool water ingestion volumes, quantified by analyzing cyanuric acid in swimmer urine. Swimmers were asked if they swallowed (1) no water or only a few drops, (2) one to two mouthfuls, (3) three to five mouthfuls, or (4) six to eight mouthfuls. One mouthful is the equivalent of 27 mL of water. The majority (81%) of swimmers ingested 27 mL ("one mouthful") on the questionnaire. More than half (52%) of swimmers overestimated their ingestion volume. These findings suggest swimmers are over-estimating pool water ingestion because they perceive one mouthful is
- Walker, K. R., Williamson, D., Carrière, Y., Reyes-Castro, P. A., Haenchen, S., Hayden, M. H., Jeffrey Gutierrez, E., & Ernst, K. C. (2018). Socioeconomic and Human Behavioral Factors Associated With Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) Immature Habitat in Tucson, AZ. Journal of medical entomology.More infoAedes aegypti (L.; Diptera: Culicidae) has been established in the southwestern United States for several decades, but relationships between humans and mosquitoes in this arid region are not well-characterized. In August 2012, the outdoor premises of 355 houses within 20 neighborhoods in Tucson, Arizona were surveyed for containers that could provide larval habitat for Ae. aegypti mosquitoes. At the same time, a knowledge, attitudes and practices (KAP) questionnaire was administered to a resident of each house surveyed for immature mosquitoes. The KAP questionnaire assessed respondents' knowledge and concerns about vector-borne illnesses as well as practices they used to avoid mosquitoes. Of the houses surveyed, 91% had at least one container present, and 64% had at least one container with standing water. On average, each house had 2.2 containers with water at the time of the survey. The overall House Index (proportion of premises surveyed with at least one container with Ae. aegypti immatures present) was 13%. Based on questionnaire responses, there was a significant positive association between the number of residents in the home and the odds of finding Ae. aegypti positive containers on the premises, while household income showed a significant negative association. The reported frequency of checking for standing water was also significantly associated with the odds of finding immatures, although the nature of this association was ambiguous. Flower pots were the principal type of container with Ae. aegypti larvae. These findings show that larval habitat is widely available even in an arid environment and city with good housing and sanitation infrastructure.
- Donner, A., Belemvire, A., Johns, B., Mangam, K., Fiekowsky, E., Gunn, J., Hayden, M., & Ernst, K. (2017). Equal Opportunity, Equal Work: Increasing Women's Participation in the U.S. President's Malaria Initiative Africa Indoor Residual Spraying Project. Global health, science and practice, 5(4), 603-616.More infoOne of the primary control measures for malaria transmission is indoor residual spraying (IRS). Historically, few women have worked in IRS programs, despite the income-generating potential. Increasing women's roles in IRS requires understanding the barriers to women's participation and implementing measures to address them. The U.S. President's Malaria Initiative (PMI) Africa Indoor Residual Spraying (AIRS) Project is the largest implementer of IRS globally. To address gender inequity in IRS operations, PMI AIRS assessed the barriers to the participation of women and developed and implemented policies to address these barriers.
- Duncan, J., Gordon-Johnson, K. A., Tulloch-Reid, M. K., Cunningham-Myrie, C., Ernst, K., McMorris, N., Grant, A., Graham, M., Chin, D., & Webster-Kerr, K. (2017). Chikungunya: important lessons from the Jamaican experience. Revista panamericana de salud publica = Pan American journal of public health, 41, e60.More infoTo describe the clinical presentation of chikungunya virus (CHIKV) illness in adults during the 2014 outbreak in Jamaica and to determine the predictive value of the case definition.
- Ernst, K. C., Erly, S., Adusei, C., Bell, M. L., Kessie, D. K., Biritwum-Nyarko, A., & Ehiri, J. (2017). Reported bed net ownership and use in social contacts is associated with uptake of bed nets for malaria prevention in pregnant women in Ghana. Malaria journal, 16(1), 13.More infoDespite progress made in the last decades, malaria persists as a pressing health issue in sub-Saharan Africa. Pregnant women are particularly vulnerable to infection and serious health outcomes for themselves and their unborn child. Risk can be mitigated through appropriate use of control measures such as insecticide-treated bed nets. Although social networks can influence uptake of preventive strategies, the role of social influence on bed net ownership has not been explored. During an evaluation of a bed net distribution programme, the influence of non-health care advisors on ownership and use of bed nets by pregnant women in Kumasi, Ghana was examined.
- Ernst, K. C., Hayden, M., Walker, K. R., Diaz-Caravantes, R., Luque-Castro, A. L., & Castro-Reyes, P. (2016). Outdoor Spatial Spraying Against Dengue: A False Sense of Security Among Inhabitants of Hermosillo, Mexico.. PLoS Neglected Tropical Diseases.
- Ernst, K. C., Walker, K. R., Reyes-Castro, P., Joy, T. K., Castro-Luque, A. L., Diaz-Caravantes, R. E., Gameros, M., Haenchen, S., Hayden, M. H., Monaghan, A., Jeffrey-Guttierez, E., Carrière, Y., & Riehle, M. R. (2017). Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) Longevity and Differential Emergence of Dengue Fever in Two Cities in Sonora, Mexico. Journal of medical entomology, 54(1), 204-211.More infoDengue virus, primarily transmitted by the Aedes aegypti (L.) mosquito, has rapidly expanded in geographic extent over the past several decades. In some areas, however, dengue fever has not emerged despite established Ae. aegypti populations. The reasons for this are unclear and have sometimes been attributed to socio-economic differences. In 2013 we compared Ae. aegypti adult density and population age structure between two cities in Sonora, Mexico: Hermosillo, which has regular seasonal dengue virus transmission, and Nogales, which has minimal transmission. Larval and pupal abundance was greater in Nogales, and adult density was only higher in Hermosillo during September. Population age structure, however, was consistently older in Hermosillo. This difference in longevity may have been one factor that limited dengue virus transmission in Nogales in 2013, as a smaller proportion of Ae. aegypti females survived past the extrinsic incubation period.
- Gunn, J. K., Ehiri, J. E., Jacobs, E. T., Ernst, K. C., Pettygrove, S., Center, K. E., Osuji, A., Ogidi, A. G., Musei, N., Obiefune, M. C., Ezeanolue, C. O., & Ezeanolue, E. E. (2017). Prevalence of Caesarean sections in Enugu, southeast Nigeria: Analysis of data from the Healthy Beginning Initiative. PloS one, 12(3), e0174369.More infoIn order to meet the Sustainable Development Goal to decrease maternal mortality, increased access to obstetric interventions such as Caesarean sections (CS) is of critical importance. As a result of women's limited access to routine and emergency obstetric services in Nigeria, the country is a major contributor to the global burden of maternal mortality. In this analysis, we aim to establish rates of CS and determine socioeconomic or medical risk factors associated with having a CS in Enugu, southeast Nigeria.
- Gunn, J., Ernst, K. C., Center, K., Biscoff, K., Nunez, A., Hyun, M., Okello, A., & Hayden, M. (2018). Current strategies and successes in engaging women in vector control: A systematic review. BMJ Global Health, 3(1).
- Lwin, M. O., Jayasundar, K., Sheldenkar, A., Wijayamuni, R., Wimalaratne, P., Ernst, K. C., & Foo, S. (2017). Lessons From the Implementation of Mo-Buzz, a Mobile Pandemic Surveillance System for Dengue. JMIR public health and surveillance, 3(4), e65.More infoApproximately 128 countries and 3.9 billion people are at risk of dengue infection. Incidence of dengue has increased over the past decades, becoming a growing public health concern for countries with populations that are increasingly susceptible to this vector-borne disease, such as Sri Lanka. Almost 55,150 dengue cases were reported in Sri Lanka in 2016, with more than 30.40% of cases (n=16,767) originating from Colombo, which struggles with an outdated manual paper-based dengue outbreak management system. Community education and outreach about dengue are also executed using paper-based media channels such as pamphlets and brochures. Yet, Sri Lanka is one of the countries with the most affordable rates of mobile services in the world, with penetration rates higher than most developing countries.
- Reyes-Castro, P. A., Castro-Luque, L., Díaz-Caravantes, R., Walker, K. R., Hayden, M. H., & Ernst, K. C. (2017). Outdoor spatial spraying against dengue: A false sense of security among inhabitants of Hermosillo, Mexico. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 11(5), e0005611.More infoGovernment-administered adulticiding is frequently conducted in response to dengue transmission worldwide. Anecdotal evidence suggests that spraying may create a "false sense of security" for residents. Our objective was to determine if there was an association between residents' reporting outdoor spatial insecticide spraying as way to prevent dengue transmission and both their reported frequency of dengue prevention practices and household entomological indices in Hermosillo, Mexico.
- Reyes-Castro, P. A., Harris, R. B., Brown, H. E., Christopherson, G. L., & Ernst, K. C. (2017). Spatio-temporal and neighborhood characteristics of two dengue outbreaks in two arid cities of Mexico. Acta tropica, 167, 174-182.More infoLittle is currently known about the spatial-temporal dynamics of dengue epidemics in arid areas. This study assesses dengue outbreaks that occurred in two arid cities of Mexico, Hermosillo and Navojoa, located in northern state of Sonora. Laboratory confirmed dengue cases from Hermosillo (N=2730) and Navojoa (N=493) were geocoded by residence and assigned neighborhood-level characteristics from the 2010 Mexican census. Kernel density and Space-time cluster analysis was performed to detect high density areas and space-time clusters of dengue. Ordinary Least Square regression was used to assess the changing socioeconomic characteristics of cases over the course of the outbreaks. Both cities exhibited contiguous patterns of space-time clustering. Initial areas of dissemination were characterized in both cities by high population density, high percentage of occupied houses, and lack of healthcare. Future research and control efforts in these regions should consider these space-time and socioeconomic patterns.
- Thomson, C. A., Jackson, R., Chou, Y., Hu, C., Ernst, K. C., Bea, J. W., Klimentidis, Y. C., & Chen, Z. (2017). Body mass index, waist circumference and mortality in a large mutiethnic postmenopausal cohort - Results from the Women's Health Initiative.. Journal of the American Geriatric Society.
- Chen, Z., Klimentidis, Y. C., Bea, J. W., Ernst, K. C., Hu, C., Chou, Y., Jackson, R., & Thomson, C. A. (2016). Body mass index, waist circumference and mortality in a large mutiethnic postmenopausal cohort - Results from the Women's Health Initiative.. Journal of the American Geriatric Society.
- Dickinson, K. L., Hayden, M. H., Haenchen, S., Monaghan, A. J., Walker, K. R., & Ernst, K. C. (2016). Willingness to Pay for Mosquito Control in Key West, Florida and Tucson, Arizona. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 94(4), 775-9.More infoMosquito-borne illnesses like West Nile virus (WNV) and dengue are growing threats to the United States. Proactive mosquito control is one strategy to reduce the risk of disease transmission. In 2012, we measured the public's willingness to pay (WTP) for increased mosquito control in two cities: Key West, FL, where there have been recent dengue outbreaks, and Tucson, AZ, where dengue vectors are established and WNV has been circulating for over a decade. Nearly three quarters of respondents in both cities (74% in Tucson and 73% in Key West) would be willing to pay $25 or more annually toward an increase in publicly funded mosquito control efforts. WTP was positively associated with income (both cities), education (Key West), and perceived mosquito abundance (Tucson). Concerns about environmental impacts of mosquito control were associated with lower WTP in Key West. Expanded mosquito control efforts should incorporate public opinion as they respond to evolving disease risks.
- Dickinson, K., Hayden, M., Haenchen, S., Monaghan, A., Walker, K., & Ernst, K. C. (2016). Willingness to Pay for Mosquito Control in Key West, Florida, and Tucson, Arizona. American Journal of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene.
- Ernst, K. C., Hayden, M. H., Olsen, H., Cavanaugh, J. L., Ruberto, I., Agawo, M., & Munga, S. (2016). Comparing ownership and use of bed nets at two sites with differential malaria transmission in western Kenya. Malaria journal, 15, 217.More infoChallenges persist in ensuring access to and optimal use of long-lasting, insecticidal bed nets (LLINs). Factors associated with ownership and use may differ depending on the history of malaria and prevention control efforts in a specific region. Understanding how the cultural and social-environmental context of bed net use may differ between high- and low-risk regions is important when identifying solutions to improve uptake and appropriate use.
- Ernst, K. C., Shelly, E., Acuno-Soto, R., Sterling, C., & Brown, H. (2016). A critical assessment of Chagas Disease surveillance data utility and recommendations for improvement in Mexico. Public Health Reports, 131(1).
- Ernst, K. C., Walker, K. R., Reyes-Castro, P., Joy, T. K., Castro-Luque, A. L., Diaz-Caravantes, R., Gameros, M., Haenchen, S., Hayden, M., Monaghan, A., Jeffrey Guttierez, E., Carriere, Y., & Riehle, M. A. (2016). Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) Longevity and Differential Emergence of Dengue Fever in Two Cities in Sonora, Mexico. Journal of Medical Entomology.
- Gunn, J., Ehiri, J., Jacobs, E., Ernst, K. C., Pettygrove, S., Kohler, L., Haenchen, S., Obiefune, M., Ezeanolu, C., Ogidi, A., & Ezeanolue, E. (2016). Population based prevalence of malaria among pregnant women in Enugu State, Nigeria: The HEalthy Beginnings Initiative. Malaria Journal.
- Haenchen, S. D., Hayden, M. H., Dickinson, K. L., Walker, K., Jacobs, E. E., Brown, H. E., Gunn, J. K., Kohler, L. N., & Ernst, K. C. (2016). Mosquito Avoidance Practices and Knowledge of Arboviral Diseases in Cities with Differing Recent History of Disease. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 95(4), 945-953.More infoAs the range of dengue virus (DENV) transmission expands, an understanding of community uptake of prevention and control strategies is needed both in geographic areas where the virus has recently been circulating and in areas with the potential for DENV introduction. Personal protective behaviors such as the use of mosquito repellent to limit human-vector contact and the reduction of vector density through elimination of oviposition sites are the primary control methods for Aedes aegypti, the main vector of DENV. Here, we examined personal mosquito control measures taken by individuals in Key West, FL, in 2012, which had experienced a recent outbreak of DENV, and Tucson, AZ, which has a high potential for introduction but has not yet experienced autochthonous transmission. In both cities, there was a positive association between the numbers of mosquitoes noticed outdoors and the overall number of avoidance behaviors, use of repellent, and removal of standing water. Increased awareness and perceived risk of DENV were associated with increases in one of the most effective household prevention behaviors, removal of standing water, but only in Key West.
- Jones, J. M., Lopez, B., Adams, L., Gálvez, F. J., Núñez, A. S., Santillán, N. A., Plante, L., Hemme, R. R., Casal, M., Hunsperger, E. A., Muñoz-Jordan, J., Acevedo, V., Ernst, K., Hayden, M., Waterman, S., Gomez, D., Sharp, T. M., Komatsu, K. K., , D. I., , , A. D., et al. (2016). Binational Dengue Outbreak Along the United States-Mexico Border - Yuma County, Arizona, and Sonora, Mexico, 2014. MMWR. Morbidity and mortality weekly report, 65(19), 495-9.More infoDengue is an acute febrile illness caused by any of four dengue virus types (DENV-1-4). DENVs are transmitted by mosquitos of the genus Aedes (1) and are endemic throughout the tropics (2). In 2010, an estimated 390 million DENV infections occurred worldwide (2). During 2007-2013, a total of three to 10 dengue cases were reported annually in Arizona and all were travel-associated. During September-December 2014, coincident with a dengue outbreak in Sonora, Mexico, 93 travel-associated dengue cases were reported in Arizona residents; 70 (75%) cases were among residents of Yuma County, which borders San Luis Río Colorado, Sonora, Mexico. San Luis Río Colorado reported its first case of locally acquired dengue in September 2014. To investigate the temporal relationship of the dengue outbreaks in Yuma County and San Luis Río Colorado and compare patient characteristics and signs and symptoms, passive surveillance data from both locations were analyzed. In addition, household-based cluster investigations were conducted near the residences of reported dengue cases in Yuma County to identify unreported cases and assess risk for local transmission. Surveillance data identified 52 locally acquired cases (21% hospitalized) in San Luis Río Colorado and 70 travel-associated cases (66% hospitalized) in Yuma County with illness onset during September-December 2014. Among 194 persons who participated in the cluster investigations in Yuma County, 152 (78%) traveled to Mexico at least monthly during the preceding 3 months. Four (2%) of 161 Yuma County residents who provided serum samples for diagnostic testing during cluster investigations had detectable DENV immunoglobulin M (IgM); one reported a recent febrile illness, and all four had traveled to Mexico during the preceding 3 months. Entomologic assessments among 105 households revealed 24 water containers per 100 houses colonized by Ae. aegypti. Frequent travel to Mexico and Ae. aegypti colonization indicate risk for local transmission of DENV in Yuma County. Public health officials in Sonora and Arizona should continue to collaborate on dengue surveillance and educate the public regarding mosquito abatement and avoidance practices. Clinicians evaluating patients from the U.S.-Mexico border region should consider dengue in patients with acute febrile illness and report suspected cases to public health authorities.
- Monaghan, A. J., Morin, C. W., Steinhoff, D. F., Wilhelmi, O., Hayden, M., Quattrochi, D. A., Reiskind, M., Lloyd, A. L., Smith, K., Schmidt, C. A., Scalf, P. E., & Ernst, K. (2016). On the Seasonal Occurrence and Abundance of the Zika Virus Vector Mosquito Aedes Aegypti in the Contiguous United States. PLoS currents, 8.More infoAn ongoing Zika virus pandemic in Latin America and the Caribbean has raised concerns that travel-related introduction of Zika virus could initiate local transmission in the United States (U.S.) by its primary vector, the mosquito Aedes aegypti.
- Arellano, C., Castro, L., Díaz-Caravantes, R. E., Ernst, K. C., Hayden, M., & Reyes-Castro, P. (2015). Knowledge and Beliefs about Dengue Transmission and Their Relationship with Prevention Practices in Hermosillo, Sonora. Frontiers in public health, 3, 142.More infoDengue is an emerging threat in the U.S.-Mexico border region. Transmission has regularly occurred in Sonora, MX since 1982 but it was not until 2014 that cities directly on the Arizona-Sonora border had local transmission. One of the closest urban areas to have regular seasonal transmission is Hermosillo, SN, MX. Developing a better understanding of the knowledge and perceptions of dengue in close geographic proximity to the border can identify areas to target for prevention and control measures.
- Beamer, P., Beamer, P., Lothrop, N. Z., Lothrop, N. Z., Lu, Z., Lu, Z., Ascher, R., Ascher, R., Ernst, K. C., Ernst, K. C., Stern, D. A., Stern, D. A., Billheimer, D. D., Billheimer, D. D., Wright, A. L., Wright, A. L., Martinez, F. D., & Martinez, F. D. (2015). Spatial Clusters of Child Lower Respiratory Illnesses associated with Community-Level Risk Factors. Pediatric Pulmonology, DOI: 10.1002/ppul.23332.
- Beamer, P., Lothrop, N. Z., Lu, Z., Ascher, R., Ernst, K. C., Stern, D. A., Billheimer, D. D., Wright, A. L., & Martinez, F. D. (2014). Spatial Clusters of Child Lower Respiratory Illnesses associated with Community-Level Risk Factors. Pediatric Pulmonology.
- Ernst, K. C., Ernst, K. C., Haenchen, S., Haenchen, S., Dickinson, K., Dickinson, K., Doyle, M., Doyle, M., Walker, K. R., Walker, K. R., Monaghan, A., Monaghan, A., Hayden, M., & Hayden, M. (2015). Awareness and Support of Release of Genetically Modified “Sterile” Mosquitoes, Key West, Florida, USA. Emerging Infectious Diseases, 21(2).
- Ernst, K. C., Haenchen, S., Dickinson, K., Doyle, M. S., Walker, K., Monaghan, A. J., & Hayden, M. H. (2015). Awareness and support of release of genetically modified "sterile" mosquitoes, Key West, Florida, USA. Emerging infectious diseases, 21(2), 320-4.More infoAfter a dengue outbreak in Key West, Florida, during 2009-2010, authorities, considered conducting the first US release of male Aedes aegypti mosquitoes genetically modified to prevent reproduction. Despite outreach and media attention, only half of the community was aware of the proposal; half of those were supportive. Novel public health strategies require community engagement.
- Ernst, K. C., Haenchen, S., Dickinson, K., Walker, K., Doyle, M., & Hayden, M. (2014). Community awareness and support of the controversial release of OX513A Ae. aegypti in Key West, FL.. Emerging Infectious Disease.
- Gunn, J. K., Ehiri, J. E., Jacobs, E. T., Ernst, K. C., Pettygrove, S., Kohler, L. N., Haenchen, S. D., Obiefune, M. C., Ezeanolue, C. O., Ogidi, A. G., & Ezeanolue, E. E. (2015). Population-based prevalence of malaria among pregnant women in Enugu State, Nigeria: the Healthy Beginning Initiative. Malaria journal, 14, 438.More infoMalaria adversely affects pregnant women and their fetuses or neonates. Estimates of the malaria burden in pregnant women based on health facilities often do not present a true picture of the problem due to the low proportion of women delivering at these facilities in malaria-endemic regions.
- Hayden, M. H., Cavanaugh, J. L., Tittel, C., Butterworth, M., Haenchen, S., Dickinson, K., Monaghan, A. J., & Ernst, K. C. (2015). Post Outbreak Review: Dengue Preparedness and Response in Key West, Florida. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 93(2), 397-400.More infoDengue is the most prevalent mosquito-borne viral infection. Recent outbreaks in the southern United States illustrate the risk of reemergence. The first autochthonous cases since 1934 in Key West, FL, occurred in 2009-2010. We conducted a survey in 2012 with decision makers instrumental to the control of the outbreak to 1) determine their awareness of the multiple strategies used to control the outbreak and 2) assess their perceptions of the relative effectiveness of these strategies. An online survey was delivered to a predefined list of decision makers from multiple sectors to better understand dengue preparedness and response. Thirty-six out of 45 surveys were returned for an 80% response rate. Results indicate the need to focus prevention strategies on educational campaigns designed to increase population awareness of transmission risk. Respondents remain concerned about future dengue transmission risk in Key West and lack of resources to respond.
- Morin, C. W., Monaghan, A. J., Hayden, M. H., Barrera, R., & Ernst, K. (2015). Meteorologically Driven Simulations of Dengue Epidemics in San Juan, PR. PLoS neglected tropical diseases, 9(8), e0004002.More infoMeteorological factors influence dengue virus ecology by modulating vector mosquito population dynamics, viral replication, and transmission. Dynamic modeling techniques can be used to examine how interactions among meteorological variables, vectors and the dengue virus influence transmission. We developed a dengue fever simulation model by coupling a dynamic simulation model for Aedes aegypti, the primary mosquito vector for dengue, with a basic epidemiological Susceptible-Exposed-Infectious-Recovered (SEIR) model. Employing a Monte Carlo approach, we simulated dengue transmission during the period of 2010-2013 in San Juan, PR, where dengue fever is endemic. The results of 9600 simulations using varied model parameters were evaluated by statistical comparison (r2) with surveillance data of dengue cases reported to the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. To identify the most influential parameters associated with dengue virus transmission for each period the top 1% of best-fit model simulations were retained and compared. Using the top simulations, dengue cases were simulated well for 2010 (r2 = 0.90, p = 0.03), 2011 (r2 = 0.83, p = 0.05), and 2012 (r2 = 0.94, p = 0.01); however, simulations were weaker for 2013 (r2 = 0.25, p = 0.25) and the entire four-year period (r2 = 0.44, p = 0.002). Analysis of parameter values from retained simulations revealed that rain dependent container habitats were more prevalent in best-fitting simulations during the wetter 2010 and 2011 years, while human managed (i.e. manually filled) container habitats were more prevalent in best-fitting simulations during the drier 2012 and 2013 years. The simulations further indicate that rainfall strongly modulates the timing of dengue (e.g., epidemics occurred earlier during rainy years) while temperature modulates the annual number of dengue fever cases. Our results suggest that meteorological factors have a time-variable influence on dengue transmission relative to other important environmental and human factors.
- Pogreba Brown, K. M., Ernst, K. C., Woodson, L., & Harris, R. (2015). Determining Risk Factors of a Non-Point Source Outbreak of Campylobacter Cases Using Case-Case and Case-Control Studies.. Epidemiology Open Access.
- Suppes, L. M., Ernst, K. C., Abrell, L. M., Reynolds, K. A., Suppes, L. M., Ernst, K. C., Abrell, L. M., & Reynolds, K. A. (2015). Validation and Standardization of Swimming Exposure and Pool Operations Questionnaires. International Journal of Hygiene and Environmental Health..
- Suppes, L. M., Ernst, K. C., Abrell, L., & Reynolds, K. A. (2014). Validation and Standardization of Swimming Exposure and Pool Operations Questionnaires. International Journal of Environmental Research and Public Health.
- Alkoshi, S., Ernst, K., Maimaiti, N., & Dahlui, M. (2014). Rota Viral Infection: A Significant Disease Burden to Libya. IRANIAN JOURNAL OF PUBLIC HEALTH, 43(10), 1356-1363.More infoBackground: Rotavirus is a common infection causing 450,000 deaths annually primarily in children 5 years and below. Despite the high burden of disease, little is known about the epidemiology of rotavirus in Libya. The aim of this study was to estimate the rotavirus disease burden among Libyan children.
- Alkoshi, S., Ernst, K., Maimaiti, N., & Dahlui, M. (2014). Rota Viral Infection: A Significant Disease Burden to Libya. Iranian journal of public health, 43(10), 1356-63.More infoRotavirus is a common infection causing 450,000 deaths annually primarily in children 5 years and below. Despite the high burden of disease, little is known about the epidemiology of rotavirus in Libya. The aim of this study was to estimate the rotavirus disease burden among Libyan children.
- Ernst, K. C. (2014). Measles surveillance in Nigeria: enough information for policy making?. Transactions of the Royal Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene, 108(6), 311-2.More infoData collected through routine surveillance of measles cases will ideally be used to make policy decisions for vaccination programs. Nigeria has recently implemented a passive surveillance system for measles. Results indicate increasing measles cases in Southwest Nigeria but this may or may not indicate a true increase in measles cases. Only very basic assessments of the logistics of the system have been conducted. Further investigations of the quality of the data and performance of reporting sites must be made to determine the reliability of information being generated by the surveillance system before conclusions can be drawn.
- Ernst, K. C., & Erhart, L. M. (2014). The role of ethnicity and travel on Hepatitis A vaccination coverage and disease incidence in Arizona at the United States-Mexico Border. Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 10(5), 1396-403.More infoHepatitis A (HAV) incidence has decreased in the United States, yet regional disparities persist. The role of international travel has become increasingly important in HAV transmission. We compared the relative burden of HAV in border and non-border regions in Arizona and examined the role of travel in sustaining HAV transmission.
- Ernst, K. C., Pogreba-Brown, K., Rasmussen, L., & Erhart, L. M. (2014). The effect of policy changes on hepatitis A vaccine uptake in Arizona children, 1995-2008. Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974), 126 Suppl 2.More infoIn 1995, the first hepatitis A vaccines became available for use. At that time, Arizona had the highest hepatitis A incidence of all 50 states. During that same time period, the Arizona State Immunization Information System (ASIIS) was created to collect information on all immunizations given in the state. Four state-level hepatitis A vaccination policies were enacted according to Centers for Disease Control and Prevention recommendations and local initiatives from 1996 to 2005. Our primary objective was to assess the impact of these policies on vaccine uptake in children.
- Haenchen, S. D., Jacobs, E. T., Bratton, K. N., Carman, A. S., Oren, E., Pottinger, H. L., Regan, J. A., & Ernst, K. C. (2014). Perceptions of personal belief vaccine exemption policy: a survey of Arizona vaccine providers. Vaccine, 32(29), 3630-5.More infoAs exemptions to school-entry requirements rise, vaccination rates in Arizona school children are approaching levels that may threaten public health. Understanding the interactions physicians have with vaccine-hesitant parents, as well as the opinions physicians hold regarding vaccination, exemption, and exemption policies, are critical to our understanding of, and ability to affect, vaccination exemption rates among children.
- Haenchen, S., Jacobs, B., Pottinger, H., Bratton, K., Carmen, A., Oren, E., Regan, J., & Ernst, K. C. (2014). Perceptions of Personal Belief Vaccine Exemption Policy: A Survey of Arizona Vaccine Providers. Vaccine, Under revision.
- Mugoya, G. C., & Ernst, K. (2014). Gender differences in HIV-related stigma in Kenya. AIDS care, 26(2).More infoStigma associated with HIV/AIDS directly and indirectly drives HIV transmission. We examined how factors associated with HIV-related stigma differed by gender, using data from the 2008-2009 Kenya Demographic and Health Survey (KDHS). Descriptive, bivariate and multinomial logistic regression analyses were conducted on selected HIV-related stigma indicators for men and women. Bivariate analyses showed significant gender differences in the overall HIV Stigma index with a higher proportion of women than men presented at the highest stigma level (4.9% vs 2.7%, p < 0.01). Women were more likely to express higher stigmatic attitudes for all components of stigma measured than men. Multivariate analyses showed that HIV-related knowledge had significant inverse dose-response for both men and women. For instance, compared to women in the first HIV-related knowledge quartile, a 1 unit increase in HIV-related knowledge among women at the third HIV-related knowledge quartile was expected to lead to a 63.8% decrease in HIV-related stigma (95% CI [0.21, 0.63]) for women with high stigma, 57.8% decrease for similar women with medium stigma (95% CI [0.33, 0.55]) and 28.4% decrease for those with low stigma (95% CI [0.57, 0.90]). Acceptance with the statement "a husband is justified to hit or beat his wife if she refuses to have sex with him" was a significant risk factor for expression of stigmatising attitudes at all levels for women (High: OR = 1.49, 95% CI [1.02, 2.17]), Medium: OR = 1.47, 95% CI [1.18, 1.82], Low: OR = 1.38, 95% CI [1.10, 1.73]) and men at medium stigma (OR = 2.02, 95% CI [1.38, 2.95]). Other notable gender differences were found in employment, marital status, ethnicity, region of residence, wealth and media exposure. Our results showed that women in the general Kenyan population had higher stigmatic attitudes than men. This was associated with differences in risk factor profile and confirmed previous literature on complexity of social-cultural factors associated with HIV-related stigma.
- Mugoya, G. C., Witte, T. H., & Ernst, K. C. (2014). Sociocultural and Victimization Factors That Impact Attitudes Toward Intimate Partner Violence Among Kenyan Women. Journal of interpersonal violence.More infoThis study investigates the association between acceptance of intimate partner violence (IPV) and reported IPV victimization among Kenyan women, taking into consideration select sociocultural factors that may also influence acceptance of IPV. Data from a nationally representative, cross-sectional, household survey conducted between November 2008 and February 2009 in Kenya were analyzed. Hierarchical multiple regression was conducted to estimate the effect of select sociodemographic characteristics and reported IPV victimization on acceptance of IPV. The results showed that while both sociodemographic characteristics and reported IPV victimization were significantly associated with IPV acceptance, sociocultural factors had a greater impact. Programs aimed at empowering women and culturally competent IPV prevention strategies may be the key elements to reducing IPV.
- Pogreba Brown, K. M., Ernst, K. C., Harris, R. B., Pogreba Brown, K. M., Ernst, K. C., & Harris, R. B. (2014). Case-case methods for studying enteric diseases: A review and approach for standardization.. OA Epidemiology, 18(2), 1-9.
- Pogreba-Brown, K., Ernst, K., & Harris, R. (2014). Teaching epidemiology concepts experientially: a "real" foodborne outbreak in the classroom. Public health reports (Washington, D.C. : 1974), 127(5).
- Ernst, K. C., Phillips, B. S., & Duncan, B. D. (2013). Slums are not places for children to live: vulnerabilities, health outcomes, and possible interventions. Advances in pediatrics, 60(1).
- Ernst, K., Birnbaum, M. S., Jacobs, E. T., Ralston-King, J., & Ernst, K. C. (2013). Correlates of high vaccination exemption rates among kindergartens. Vaccine, 31(5).More infoThe present study was designed to characterize Arizona schools with high rates of permanent PBE among kindergartners, and to determine the degree to which they aggregate across the state.
- Erhart, L. M., & Ernst, K. C. (2012). The changing epidemiology of hepatitis A in Arizona following intensive immunization programs (1988-2007). Vaccine, 30(42).More infoArizona had the highest hepatitis A incidence of any U.S. state during 1987-1997. In 1995, the first hepatitis A vaccines became available in the U.S. A series of hepatitis A vaccination policies and recommendations were implemented in 1996-2006. Our objective was to examine the shifting epidemiologic patterns in hepatitis A in Arizona from 1988 to 2007.
- Ernst, K. C., & Jacobs, E. T. (2012). Implications of philosophical and personal belief exemptions on re-emergence of vaccine-preventable disease: the role of spatial clustering in under-vaccination. Human vaccines & immunotherapeutics, 8(6).More infoVaccine exemption policies vary by state, and it has been demonstrated that easier protocols for personal/philosophical belief exemptions are associated with lower vaccine coverage at the state level. However, this does not lead to ubiquitously lower immunization rates across the state, as shown by variability in county-level exemption rates. Rather, there is geographical clustering of areas which are then more vulnerable to outbreaks of vaccine-preventable diseases. Understanding both state and local patterns of vaccine exemptions and developing policies and public health interventions to increase coverage in high-risk areas is critical. At all levels of healthcare, efforts must be made to encourage vaccination education and legislation to protect the public's health.
- Joy, T. K., Jeffrey Gutierrez, E. H., Ernst, K., Walker, K. R., Carriere, Y., Torabi, M., & Riehle, M. A. (2012). Aging field collected Aedes aegypti to determine their capacity for dengue transmission in the southwestern United States. PloS one, 7(10).More infoAedes aegypti, the primary vector of dengue virus, is well established throughout urban areas of the Southwestern US, including Tucson, AZ. Local transmission of the dengue virus, however, has not been reported in this area. Although many factors influence the distribution of the dengue virus, we hypothesize that one contributing factor is that the lifespan of female Ae. aegypti mosquitoes in the Southwestern US is too short for the virus to complete development and be transmitted to a new host. To test this we utilized two age grading techniques. First, we determined parity by analyzing ovarian tracheation and found that only 40% of Ae. aegypti females collected in Tucson, AZ were parous. The second technique determined transcript levels of an age-associated gene, Sarcoplasmic calcium-binding protein 1 (SCP-1). SCP-1 expression decreased in a predictable manner as the age of mosquitoes increased regardless of rearing conditions and reproductive status. We developed statistical models based on parity and SCP-1 expression to determine the age of individual, field collected mosquitoes within three age brackets: nonvectors (0-5 days post-emergence), unlikely vectors (6-14 days post-emergence), and potential vectors (15+ days post-emergence). The statistical models allowed us to accurately group individual wild mosquitoes into the three age brackets with high confidence. SCP-1 expression levels of individual, field collected mosquitoes were analyzed in conjunction with parity status. Based on SCP-1 transcript levels and parity data, 9% of collected mosquitoes survived more than 15 days post emergence.
- Rolfes, M. A., McCarra, M., Magak, N. G., Ernst, K. C., Dent, A. E., Lindblade, K. A., & John, C. C. (2012). Development of clinical immunity to malaria in highland areas of low and unstable transmission. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 87(5).More infoIn highland areas of unstable, low malaria transmission, the extent to which immunity to uncomplicated malaria develops with age and intermittent parasite exposure has not been well characterized. We conducted active surveillance for clinical malaria during April 2003-March 2005 in two highland areas of western Kenya (Kapsisiywa and Kipsamoite). In both sites, annual malaria incidence was significantly lower in persons ≥ 15 years of age than in persons < 5 years of age (Kapsisiywa: incidence = 382.9 cases/1,000 persons among persons < 1-4 years of age versus 135.1 cases/1,000 persons among persons ≥ 15 years of age; Kipsamoite: incidence = 233.0 cases/1,000 persons in persons < 1-4 years of age versus 43.3 cases/1,000 persons in persons ≥ 15 years of age). In Kapsisiywa, among persons with malaria, parasite density and axillary body temperature were also significantly lower in persons ≥ 15 years of age than in persons < 5 years of age. Even in highland areas of unstable and low malaria transmission, age is associated with development of clinical immunity to malaria.
- Cohen, J. M., Ernst, K. C., Lindblade, K. A., Vulule, J. M., John, C. C., & Wilson, M. L. (2010). Local topographic wetness indices predict household malaria risk better than land-use and land-cover in the western Kenya highlands. Malaria journal, 9.More infoIdentification of high-risk malaria foci can help enhance surveillance or control activities in regions where they are most needed. Associations between malaria risk and land-use/land-cover are well-recognized, but these environmental characteristics are closely interrelated with the land's topography (e.g., hills, valleys, elevation), which also influences malaria risk strongly. Parsing the individual contributions of land-cover/land-use variables to malaria risk requires examining these associations in the context of their topographic landscape. This study examined whether environmental factors like land-cover, land-use, and urban density improved malaria risk prediction based solely on the topographically-determined context, as measured by the topographic wetness index.
- Robinson, K. L., Ernst, K. C., Johnson, B. L., & Rosales, C. (2010). Health status of southern Arizona border counties: a Healthy Border 2010 midterm review. Revista panamericana de salud pública = Pan American journal of public health, 28(5).More infoThe region on the United States (US) side of the US-Mexico border consists of 44 counties in four states; populations on both sides of the border have similar health problems. Healthy Border 2010: An Agenda for Improving Health on the US-Mexico Border (HB 2010) is a binational agenda of health promotion and disease prevention for individuals in the region. This study reports on the health status of the four southern Arizona border counties.
- Ernst, K. C., Lindblade, K. A., Koech, D., Sumba, P. O., Kuwuor, D. O., John, C. C., & Wilson, M. L. (2009). Environmental, socio-demographic and behavioural determinants of malaria risk in the western Kenyan highlands: a case-control study. Tropical medicine & international health : TM & IH, 14(10).More infoTo identify risk factors for uncomplicated malaria in highland areas of East Africa at higher risk of malaria epidemics, in order to design appropriate interventions.
- Cohen, J. M., Ernst, K. C., Lindblade, K. A., Vulule, J. M., John, C. C., & Wilson, M. L. (2008). Topography-derived wetness indices are associated with household-level malaria risk in two communities in the western Kenyan highlands. Malaria journal, 7.More infoTransmission of Plasmodium falciparum generally decreases with increasing elevation, in part because lower temperature slows the development of both parasites and mosquitoes. However, other aspects of the terrain, such as the shape of the land, may affect habitat suitability for Anopheles breeding and thus risk of malaria transmission. Understanding these local topographic effects may permit prediction of regions at high risk of malaria within the highlands at small spatial scales.
- Menge, D. M., Ernst, K. C., Vulule, J. M., Zimmerman, P. A., Guo, H., & John, C. C. (2008). Microscopy underestimates the frequency of Plasmodium falciparum infection in symptomatic individuals in a low transmission highland area. The American journal of tropical medicine and hygiene, 79(2).More infoIn an area with unstable malaria transmission, detection of Plasmodium falciparum infection in 379 symptomatic individuals was assessed by microscopy and three polymerase chain reaction (PCR) methodologies. P. falciparum infection was detected in 25% of patients by microscopy, 37% by nested PCR, 41% by merozoite surface protein-2 (MSP-2) PCR, and 45% by a ligase detection reaction-fluorescent microsphere assay (LDR-FMA). Of the 64 individuals who were LDR-FMA positive, microscopy negative and did not receive treatment, 8 (12.5%) had persistent symptoms and returned for treatment. Malaria attributable fraction (MAF) in symptomatic individuals was 14.6% by microscopy (95% confidence interval [CI] = 6.6-21.8%) and 28.2% by nested PCR (95% CI = 17.9-37.2%). In this highland area, P. falciparum infection in symptomatic individuals is detected more frequently by PCR than microscopy, and most frequently by LDR-FMA. P. falciparum infection appears to resolve without treatment in most LDR-FMA-positive, microscopy-negative individuals, but is persistent in a subset of these individuals and requires treatment.
- Ernst, K. C., Adoka, S. O., Kowuor, D. O., Wilson, M. L., & John, C. C. (2006). Malaria hotspot areas in a highland Kenya site are consistent in epidemic and non-epidemic years and are associated with ecological factors. Malaria journal, 5.More infoMalaria epidemics in highland areas of East Africa have caused considerable morbidity and mortality in the past two decades. Knowledge of "hotspot" areas of high malaria incidence would allow for focused preventive interventions in resource-poor areas, particularly if the hotspot areas can be discerned during non-epidemic periods and predicted by ecological factors.
- Ernst, K. C. (2017, 06/2017). Building Communication Capacity to Counter Infectious Disease Threats: Proceedings of a Workshop. In National Academy of Science, National Academies of Sciences, Engineering, and Medicine; Health and Medicine Division; Board on Global Health; Forum on Microbial Threats. Washington (DC): National Academies Press (US); 2017 Jun 16..
- Schmidt, C., Phippard, A., Olsen, J., Wirt, K., Rivera, A., Crawley, A., Waterman, S., & Ernst, K. C. (2017, 06/2017). Kidenga: Public engagement for detection and prevention of Aedes-borne viral diseases. In Online Journal of Public Health Informatics, 9.
- Ellsworth, P. C., Fournier, A. J., Teegerstrom, T., Rivadeneira, P., Ernst, K. C., Walker, K. R., Brophy, M., Reese, S., Dorame-Avalos, A., Nair, S., Gouge, D. H., & Li, S. (2019, August). Effective Partnerships in Public Health IPM Education in American Indian Communities. National Environmental Health Association Integrated Pest Management Solutions in Environmental Health Virtual Conference. Virtual Conference: National Environmental Health Association.More info158 views. 106 NEHA CEUs
- Ernst, K. C., Enquist, B. J., Ferguson, D. B., Merideth, R., Park, D. T., Dang, T., Nuñez-Regueiro, M. M., Baldwin, E., Soto, J. R., Breshears, D. D., Swann, A. L., Lien, A., Huang, T., Feng, X., & Lopez Hoffman, L. (2018, June). Crops in a Changing World: Hidden Forest-Agriculture Teleconnections. 5th European Congress of Conservation Biology. Jyväskylä, Finland: European Congress of Conservation Biology.
- Ernst, K. C., Riehle, M. A., Walker, K. R., & Weitemier, T. D. (2018, October). Evidence and variation in nectar feeding from wild Aedes aegypti mosquitoes from an arid environment. Society of Vector Ecology. Yosemite, California.
- Ernst, K. C., Castro Luque, A. L., Walker, K. R., & Reyes Castro, P. (2017, Nov.). Datos de investigación y recomendaciones para la vigilancia y prevención del dengue.. Advisory meeting to the Secretaria de Salud, Estado de Sonora (Sonora State Health Department). Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico: Foro Binacional, Estado de Sonora.
- Ernst, K. C., Castro Luque, A. L., Walker, K. R., & Reyes Castro, P. (2017, Nov.). On the edge: dengue and climate (in Spanish). Foro Binacional: Redes Regionales - Arizona, Sonora, California, Baja California. Hermosillo, Sonora, Mexico: Foro Binacional Redes Regionales - Arizona, Sonora, California, Baja California.
- Reyes Castro, P., Joy, T., Riehle, M. A., Ernst, K. C., & Walker, K. R. (2017, March). Ecology of Aedes aegypti and public perception of mosquitoes in the Arizona/Sonora border region. 2017 Arizona Vector Control Conference. Phoenix, AZ: Arizona Dept. of Health Services.
- Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., Castro-Reyes, P., & Riehle, M. A. (2016, October). Ecologia de Aedes aegypti y el Riesgo de Dengue en la Region de Arizona/Sonora [in Spanish]. Simposio Binacional: Exploracion de los Aspectos Ambientales y de Salud del Zika, Dengue Chikungunya y la Fiebre Manchada,. Nogales, Sonora: U.S. EPA.
- Walker, K. R., Joy, T. K., Ernst, K. C., Riehle, M. A., & Daniel, W. (2016, September). Understanding the Zika vector in the desert southwest.. Science Café –. Tucson, AZ: Southwest Environmental Health Sciences Center, University of Arizona.
- Walker, K. R., Joy, T. K., Ernst, K. C., Riehle, M. A., & Daniel, W. (2016, September). Understanding the Zika vector in the desert southwest.. Volunteer Leadership Engagement Day with the Wildcat for Life and National Leadership Councils. Tucson, AZ: University of Arizona.
- Walker, K. R., Rathman, R., Yaglom, H., Levy, C., Beal, B., Ernst, K. C., Casal, M., & Stokka, D. (2016, September). Enlisting citizen scientists for disease vector surveillance: The Great Arizona Mosquito Hunt.. International Congress of Entomology. Orlando, Florida,: International Congress of Entomology.
- Dickinson, K., Hayden, M., Haenchen, S., & Ernst, K. C. (2015, January). Willingness to pay for control of dengue - transmitting mosquitoes in Key West, FL. American Meteorological Society. Phoenix, AZ.
- Ernst, K. C. (2015, October 2015). Aedes distribution on the US border with Mexico/ Dengue risk perception a cross border perspective. American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. Philadelphia, PA.
- Ernst, K. C. (2015, October 2015). Climatic influences of Ae. aegypti dynamics and dengue transmission at the edge of its natural range. American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. Philadelphia, PA.
- Ernst, K. C., Bauman, A., & Taren, D. (2015, March 2015). Assessing community health: innovation in anthropometric tool for measuring height and length. CUGH Global Health. Boston, MA.
- Morin, C., Monaghan, A., Crosson, W., Quattrochi, D., Hayden, M., & Ernst, K. C. (2015, January). Assessing disparities of dengue virus transmission risk across the US Mexico border using a climate driven vector epidemiological model. American Meteorological Society. Phoenix, AZ.
- Ugwu, C., Ezeanolue, E., Ehiri, J., & Ernst, K. C. (2015, March 2015). Feasibility of using world health organization standard verbal autopsy to assess causes of neonatal and post-neonatal death in Enugu, Nigeria. CUGH Global Health Conference. Boston, MA.
- Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., Reyes-Castro, P., Castro, L., Diaz-Cervantes, R., Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., Reyes-Castro, P., Castro, L., & Diaz-Cervantes, R. (2015, August). Factores que influyen en el riesgo de dengue en la región Arizona-Sonora. Reunion sobre el control de enfermedades transmitido por insectos. Ciudad Obregon, Sonora, Mexico: Instituto Technologica de Sonor.
- Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., Walker, K. R., & Ernst, K. C. (2015, July). Factores que influyen en el riesgo de dengue en la región Arizona-Sonora (in Spanish). Meeting with Sonoran Health Dept. in Santa Ana, Sonora.
- Castro-Reyes, P., & Ernst, K. C. (2014, Fall 2015). Social and Environmental Factors of Dengue Fever in the Sonoran Desert of Mexico, 2006-2011. APHA Annual Meeting 2014. New Orleans, LA.
- Ernst, K. C., Beamer, P., Ernst, K. C., & Beamer, P. (2014, October). Relationship of mosquito density and particle loading from cooking fires in Kenya.”. International Society of Exposure Science.
- Ernst, K. C., Haenchen, S., Dickinson, K., Doyle, M., & Hayden, M. (2014, October). Community awareness and support of the controversial release of OX513A Aedes aegypti in Key West, FL. Presented at Fourth Pan-American Dengue Network Meeting..
- Ernst, K. C., Hayden, M., Riehle, M., Walker, K. R., & Riehle, M. A. (2014, August). Differential Emergence of Dengue in the Arizona-Sonora Desert Region: Understanding the Role of Social and Environmental Factors.”. International Society for Environmental Epidemiology.
- Ernst, K. C., Hayden, M., Walker, K. R., Castro, L., Diaz, R., Reyes-Castro, P., Monaghan, A., Haenchen, S., & Riehle, M. A. (2014, November). Diferencias en el riesgo del dengue a través del norte de México. Prevención de riesgos para la salud de las poblaciones vulnerables..
- Monaghan, A., Hayden, M., Steinhoff, D., Rodriguez, D., Ernst, K. C., Ernst, K., Eisen, L., S, L. F., & P, B. (2014, August). Disease Vector Mapping Via Environmental, Climatological and Sociological Factors. International Society for Environmental Epidemiology.
- Reyes-Castro, P., & Ernst, K. C. (2014, November). Social and Environmental Factors of Dengue Fever in the Sonoran Desert of Mexico, 2006-2011. American Public Health Association.
- Walker, K. R., & Ernst, K. C. (2014, Fall). Factores que influyen en el riesgo de dengue en la región Arizona-Sonora. Training event for nurses & hospital staff - Hospital General Nogales. Nogales, Sonora, Mexico: Hospital General Nogales.
- Ernst, K. C. (2013, June). Identifying community-based strategies to improve insecticide treated bednet use.. Grand Rounds. Kisumu, Kenya: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.
- Ernst, K. C., Castro-Reyes, P., & Walker, K. (2013, May). Dengue in the Arizona-Sonora Border Region.. U.S. Public Health Service Scientific and Training Symposium..
- Ernst, K. C., Haenchen, S., Walker, K., Doyle, M., Dickinson, K., & Hayden, M. (2013, November). Comparing Social and Behavioral Factors Related to Dengue Transmission in Two U.S. Communities: One With and One Without a Recent Transmission. American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. Washington D.C..
- Reynolds, K. A., Suppes, L. M., Ernst, K. C., & Gerba, C. P. (2014, Spring). Aquatic Environmental Exposure and Operation Questionnaire Standardization and Validation. 5th International Conference Swimming Pool and Spa. Rome, Italy: National Swimming Pool Foundation (NSPF).
- Suppes, L. M., Reynolds, K. A., Ernst, K. C., & Gerba, C. P. (2013, January). Influence of Swimmer Activity and Behavior on Pool Water Ingestion. Arizona County Directors of Environmental Health Services Association. Laughlin, NV.
- Fournier, A. J., Ellsworth, P. C., Teegerstrom, T., Rivadeneira, P., Ernst, K. C., Walker, K. R., Brophy, M., Reese, S., Dorame-Avalos, A., Nair, S., Gouge, D. H., & Li, S. (2019, August). Public Health IPM Education in American Indian Communities. Arizona Cooperative Extension Conference. Tucson, AZ: UA Extension.
- Fournier, A. J., Fournier, A. J., Ellsworth, P. C., Ellsworth, P. C., Teegerstrom, T., Teegerstrom, T., Rivadeneira, P., Rivadeneira, P., Rivadeneira, P., Rivadeneira, P., Ernst, K. C., Ernst, K. C., Walker, K. R., Walker, K. R., Brophy, M., Brophy, M., Reese, S., Reese, S., Dorame-Avalos, A., , Dorame-Avalos, A., et al. (2019, 08-06-2019). Public Health IPM Education in American Indian Communities. 2019 Arizona Cooperative Extension Conference.More info8/6/19. Li, S., Gouge, D.H., Nair, S., Dorame-Avalos, A., Reese, S.K., Brophy, M., Walker, K.C., Ernst, K.C., Rivadeneira, P., Teegerstrom, T., Ellsworth, P.C. and Fournier, A.J. (presented the poster). 2019. Public Health IPM Education in American Indian Communities. Poster presentation. 2019 Arizona Cooperative Extension Conference. Westin La Paloma Resort, 3800 E. Sunrise Dr., Tucson, AZ 85718. August 6-7, 2019.
- Li, S., Gouge, D. H., Nair, S., Dorame-Avalos, A., Reese, S. K., Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., Rivadeneira, P., Teegerstrom, T., Ellsworth, P. C., & Fournier, A. J. (2019, August). Public Health IPM Education in American Indian Communities. University of Arizona Cooperative Extension Annual In-Service Training. Tucson, Arizona.
- Ernst, K. C., Gouge, D. H., Riehle, M. A., & Walker, K. R. (2018, October). Impacts of ULV adulticiding on the vectorial capacity of the Zika Vector. Society of Vector Ecology. Yosemite, California.
- Joy, T., Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., & Riehle, M. A. (2018, October). Age grading individual field collected Aedes aeg ypti mosquitoes: qPCR versus near - infrared spectrophotometry (NIRS). Society of Vector Ecology. Yosemite, California.
- Koch, S., Koch, S., Harris, R. B., Harris, R. B., Jacobs, E. T., Jacobs, E. T., Ernst, K. C., Ernst, K. C., Dennis, L. K., & Dennis, L. K. (2016, October). Sun protection behavior and sunburns among Arizona adults. Joint IDEA-Keracon Conference [7th International Dermato-Epidemiology Association (IDEA) Congress and Keratinocyte Carcinoma Consortium (KeraCon). Aurora, CO: International Dermato-Epidemiology Association.More infoKoch S, Harris RB, Jacobs ET, Ernst KC, Dennis LK. Sun protection behavior and sunburns among Arizona adults. Poster presentation at Joint IDEA-Keracon Conference [7th International Dermato-Epidemiology Association (IDEA) Congress and Keratinocyte Carcinoma Consortium (KeraCon) . Aurora CO, September 2016
- Pogreba Brown, K. M., Ernst, K. C., Harris, R. B., Pogreba Brown, K. M., Ernst, K. C., & Harris, R. B. (2015, November). Determining Risk Factors of a Non-Point Source Outbreak of Campylobacter Cases Using Case-Case and Case-Control Studies. Campylobacter, Helicobbacter and Other Related Organisms International Conference. Rotorua, New Zealand.More infoThis poster was accepted for the conference, but I was unable to attend due to medical reasons. Dr. Alexandra Armstrong, a colleague from CALS was able to present for me.
- Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., Joy, T., Reyes-Castro, P., Carriere, Y., Castro, L., Diaz-Cervantes, R., Gameros, M., Hayden, M., Monaghan, A., Haenchen, S., Guttierez-Jeffrey, E., Riehle, M. A., Walker, K. R., Ernst, K. C., Joy, T., Reyes-Castro, P., Carriere, Y., Castro, L., , Diaz-Cervantes, R., et al. (2015, September). Exploring differential emergence of dengue in two cities with established Aedes aegypti populations: A case study in Sonora, Mexico. 2015 Annual Meeting of the Society for Vector Ecology. Albuquerque, NM.
- Ernst, K. C., & Beamer, P. (2014, October). Relationship of mosquito density and particle loading from cooking fires in Kenya.”. International Society of Exposure Science.
- Ernst, K. C., Hayden, M., & Munga, S. (2013, November). Attitudes towards indoor residual spray - A comparison of areas with endemic and unstable transmission. American Society of Tropical Medicine and Hygiene. Washington D.C..
- Haenchen, S. D., Pottinger, H. L., Jacobs, E. T., Gast, P. B., & Ernst, K. C. (2013, March). Opinions of Arizona Physicians Regarding Childhood Immunizations. 2013 Public Health Research Poster Forum. Tucson, AZ: Mel & Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health.
- Haenchen, S., Hayden, M., Dickinson, K., & Ernst, K. C. (2013, September). Knowledge and Attitudes Towards Dengue and Their Effect on Mosquito Breeding-site Prevention Practices in Key West, FL.. Society of vector ecology. La Quinta, CA.
- Pottinger, H. L., Steven, H. D., Jacobs, E. T., & Ernst, K. C. (2013, March). Parental attitudes toward childhood immunization(s) in Arizona elementary schools. 2013 Public Health Research Poster Forum. Tucson, AZ: Mel & Enid Zuckerman College of Public Health.
- Pottinger, H. L., Haenchen, S. D., Jacobs, E. T., Gast, P. B., & Ernst, K. C. (2012, November). Parental attitudes toward childhood immunization(s) in Arizona elementary schools. 2012 Frontiers in Biomedical Research Poster Forum. Tucson, AZ: The University of Arizona College of Medicine.
- Ernst, K., Morin, C. W., Comrie, A. C., & Ernst, K. C. (2013. Climate and Dengue Transmission: Evidence and Implications.More infoClimate influences dengue ecology by affecting vector dynamics, agent development, and mosquito/human interactions. While these relationships are known, the impact climate change will have on transmission is unclear. Climate-driven statistical and process-based models are being used to refine our knowledge of these relationships and predict the effects of projected climate change on dengue fever occurrence, but results have been inconsistent.